Voice from the Commonwealth Commentary, World Views and Occasional Rants from a small 'l' libertarian in Massachussetts
"If ye love wealth greater than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest for freedom, go home and leave us in peace. We seek not your council nor your arms. Crouch down and lick the hand that feeds you, and may posterity forget that ye were our countrymen." - Samuel Adams
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"A smart fellow...I do like, recommend and learn from Barbera's blog." -Roger L. Simon
"Your blog is bullshit"- anonymous angry French reader.
Jane's is saying that war between India and Pakistan would be at least a few month's away. First, India and Pakistan will be constrained by the near certainty that if one side uses nuclear weapons against the other, the victim will retaliate. It was such a 'balance of terror' that kept the peace between the USSR and United States in the Cold War years. Second, the two sides may be deterred from launching a land war against the other for at least a few months because the temperature in the potential battle areas is fiercely hot - up to 50 degrees centigrade. Third, it takes time for hundreds of thousands of soldiers to organise themselves on a war footing. . . . Fourth, the two sides may wish to imitate the US taste for avoiding ground wars and concentrate on domination of the skies, but this may be easier said than done. . . . Fifth, the two sides may try to strike some geostrategic blows on the other before considering the nuclear option. Sixth, the Western powers and Russia can be expected to apply ever stronger pressure on the two sides to desist from war preparations. These countries know how to apply pressure. It could work.
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